A report by Kearney and the MIT Mobility Initiative, released on 5 November, forecasts that autonomous trucks in the US will cost about the same per mile as trucks with drivers around 2028, FreightWaves reported.
The US gets there first, two years ahead of Europe and four ahead of the Middle East, because its drivers cost the most, the report says. It expects the driverless cost to fall to about $2 a mile by 2035, mostly by spreading development costs over more trucks.
The 2028 date assumes the autonomous fleet reaches 40,000 trucks by 2035. With only 10,000, parity in the US could slip to 2032. The authors built the model from more than 25 interviews with developers, truck makers, carriers, brokers and investors.
Background
Kearney
Consulting firm
A consulting firm that published a forecast on driverless truck costs with the MIT Mobility Initiative.
MIT Mobility Initiative
Research initiative
An MIT research initiative on mobility that co-authored a forecast on driverless truck costs.
